Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220811Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 18Aug2022 - 24Aug2022				Week 3: 25Aug2022 - 31Aug2022				Week 4: 01Sep2022 - 07Sep2022
NO	Stations	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	37.1	33.3			37.1	32.6			37.9	34.1
2	Niamey	36.9	33.5			37.7	32.8			38.4	34.4
3	Ouagadougou	33.9	30.1			34.3	29.5			34.8	30.6
4	Mopti	37.4	34.4			37.4	33.2			38.2	34.7
5	Bamako	31.1	28.8			31.4	28.4			32.3	29.2
6	Kayes	37.1	33.1			38.3	32.7			38.3	33.8
7	Tamba	36.6	31.7			36.3	31.5			37.8	32.3
8	Kedougou	30.7	29.0			30.8	29.2			31.3	29.6
9	Saraya	31.6	29.3			32.8	29.3			32.8	29.9
10	Dalafi	34.4	30.1			35.5	29.9			35.4	30.8
11	Goudiri	35.3	30.9			35.6	30.5			35.5	31.3
12	Naye	36.2	32.1			37.4	31.7			37.2	32.7
13	Bakel	37.5	34.1			39.0	33.5			39.3	34.5
14	Koupentoum	35.8	31.5			34.7	31.3			35.7	31.7
15	Mamari	37.7	34.2			38.4	33.7			38.8	34.5
16	Velingara	33.3	30.9			32.7	30.6			34.1	31.5
17	Matam	38.3	35.7			39.4	35.3			39.9	36.0
18	Haire_Lao	39.4	37.7			40.0	37.4			40.4	38.2
19	Podor	39.3	37.3			39.8	37.0			40.2	38.0
20	Richard_Toll	38.9	36.0			39.2	36.0			39.7	36.9
21	Linguere	38.1	35.7			38.6	35.3			39.5	36.0
22	Daraa	37.7	34.8			38.3	34.6			39.1	35.3
23	Louga	36.6	33.5			36.9	33.5			37.9	34.0
24	Touba	35.9	33.6			36.7	33.4			37.2	33.7
25	Diourbel	35.2	32.8			35.6	32.5			36.5	32.9
26	Bambey	34.6	32.3			34.9	32.2			36.0	32.6
27	Koungheul	34.8	31.7			34.1	31.5			35.5	31.9
28	Kaffrine	34.2	31.7			34.0	31.4			35.4	31.8
29	Kaolack	33.7	31.6			33.7	31.3			35.2	31.7
30	Fatick	34.6	32.3			34.9	32.2			36.0	32.6
31	Gossas	35.2	32.8			35.6	32.5			36.5	32.9
32	Freetown	27.8	26.8			28.4	27.0			29.5	27.6
33	Cairo	39.9	41.0			38.7	39.1			38.4	37.5
34	Alexandria	34.3	33.9			33.3	32.3			32.5	31.2
35	Giza	39.9	41.0			38.7	39.1			38.4	37.5
36	Luxor	42.5	43.9			41.3	42.5			41.2	40.5
37	Sirte	37.0	34.3			36.6	34.4			37.2	33.4
38	Tripoli	30.7	29.8			31.3	29.7			31.1	28.4
39	Benghazi	30.1	29.7			29.6	29.0			29.7	28.0
40	Mistratah	32.7	31.2			32.9	31.2			33.2	29.9
41	Tunis	36.3	35.9			35.4	34.5			33.3	32.0
42	Sfax	30.6	30.2			29.3	29.6			29.2	28.2
43	Sousse	36.1	36.2			36.1	34.6			33.4	32.1
44	Algiers	28.7	27.0			27.2	26.2			27.2	25.6
45	Oran	36.5	36.2			35.5	35.0			33.9	33.3
46	Constantine	36.6	38.0			35.3	35.7			33.8	32.5
47	Annaba	32.6	31.3			31.5	30.2			30.7	28.5
48	Casablanca	32.6	29.3			30.6	29.1			30.0	29.2
49	Rabat	27.3	25.3			26.2	24.9			25.9	25.3
50	Fes	38.2	37.9			36.9	36.9			35.9	35.2
51	Sale	34.7	36.1			34.0	34.3			31.6	31.9
52	Riyadh	43.2	42.4			43.2	42.0			42.1	41.6
53	Jeddah	34.0	32.4			33.3	32.3			33.3	32.1
54	Mecca	43.0	37.2			42.4	38.7			42.4	39.3
55	Medina	44.0	41.9			43.8	42.6			42.6	41.9
56	Sanaa	26.0	21.6			25.8	23.0			26.2	23.7
57	Al_Hudaydah	37.1	33.8			36.7	34.6			36.5	35.2
58	Aden	39.9	36.8			39.7	37.6			40.4	38.2
59	London	25.7	23.3			23.4	23.8			23.7	22.8
60	Paris	27.3	26.5			25.8	26.4			25.4	25.5
61	Istanbul	29.8	27.6			29.0	25.7			27.2	24.3
62	Moscow	23.4	22.1			23.3	21.6			22.9	20.5
63	Madrid	32.9	32.8			31.8	32.0			30.1	30.0
64	Rome	37.0	34.9			33.9	33.0			32.7	30.7
65	Frankfurt	28.1	26.2			28.0	25.7			26.0	24.0
66	Kyiv	27.0	28.4			26.9	26.7			25.4	24.6
67	Berlin	27.2	25.5			26.3	24.4			24.6	22.6
68	Bucharest	34.8	34.5			32.7	32.1			30.5	29.8
69	Tokyo	33.9	31.7			33.7	31.8			32.5	30.6
70	Jakarta	26.8	27.2			27.1	27.3			26.7	27.2
71	Delhi	38.2	35.0			39.1	36.0			38.5	36.3
72	Manila	30.1	29.9			30.0	30.1			30.5	30.3
73	Seoul	32.8	31.0			30.9	29.8			30.5	30.1
74	Mumbai	34.3	30.4			32.4	31.2			30.8	30.0
75	Shanghai	32.6	33.5			32.1	31.6			29.9	30.8
76	Guangzhou	36.9	34.9			36.1	34.4			35.5	33.7
77	Beijing	34.3	30.4			32.4	31.2			30.8	30.0
78	Kolkata	34.2	33.8			34.3	33.7			35.0	33.8
79	Bangkok	34.4	32.6			33.2	32.5			33.1	31.4
80	Dhaka	33.9	34.0			34.1	33.6			33.7	34.1
81	Karachi	33.8	31.2			34.9	31.6			34.2	32.7
82	Mexico_City	21.9	21.6			22.2	21.0			22.0	20.8
83	New_York	29.4	29.8			29.3	29.2			28.2	27.5
84	Los_Angeles	31.5	32.3			35.2	31.0			32.1	31.5
85	Chicago	25.3	26.6			26.0	26.8			25.2	26.1
86	Dallas	37.5	34.1			36.1	35.0			34.4	33.8
87	Houston	35.2	33.8			35.1	34.6			33.1	33.7
88	Toronto	24.2	23.4			24.0	22.7			23.9	22.5
89	Washington_DC	32.4	33.3			32.6	33.0			32.0	31.3
90	Philadelphia	31.7	33.1			32.2	32.7			31.5	30.9
91	Miami	30.6	29.9			30.5	29.6			30.6	29.6
92	Leon	28.4	27.0			28.8	27.7			28.6	27.9
93	Santa_Ana	32.9	29.9			31.8	29.0			31.3	28.5
94	San_José	24.6	23.7			24.8	24.0			25.0	24.0
95	Panama_City	29.9	28.4			30.0	28.5			30.4	28.5
96	San_Pedro_Sula	33.5	31.7			33.9	32.1			33.7	32.6
97	San_Salvador	31.6	29.8			31.1	29.0			30.9	28.9
98	Guatemala_City	29.4	27.0			29.6	26.8			29.5	26.7
99	Managua	30.6	29.1			30.9	28.9			30.7	28.7
100	Tegucigalpa	28.6	27.3			28.6	27.5			28.6	26.7
101	Port-au-Prince	32.6	32.9			32.3	32.1			31.8	31.5
102	San-Juan	29.6	28.8			29.9	28.7			30.1	28.7
103	Havana	31.9	32.2			31.6	31.7			31.2	31.7
104	Kingston	29.4	28.7			29.5	28.8			29.5	28.7
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	29.2	28.5			29.3	28.4			29.3	28.3
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.9	28.1			29.2	28.0			29.2	28.0
107	Port_of_Spain	29.1	28.9			29.2	29.0			29.2	29.0

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Last Update: Fri Aug 12 06:31:12 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.