Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220811Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 18Aug2022 - 24Aug2022				Week 3: 25Aug2022 - 31Aug2022				Week 4: 01Sep2022 - 07Sep2022
NO	Stations	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	36.4	33.3			36.3	32.6			37.4	34.1
2	Niamey	36.1	33.5			36.7	32.8			37.9	34.4
3	Ouagadougou	32.9	30.1			33.3	29.5			34.2	30.6
4	Mopti	36.2	34.4			36.9	33.2			37.7	34.7
5	Bamako	30.6	28.8			30.9	28.4			31.6	29.2
6	Kayes	35.8	33.1			37.2	32.7			36.6	33.8
7	Tamba	35.7	31.7			35.2	31.5			35.8	32.3
8	Kedougou	30.4	29.0			30.6	29.2			30.7	29.6
9	Saraya	31.0	29.3			31.7	29.3			31.4	29.9
10	Dalafi	33.5	30.1			33.6	29.9			33.9	30.8
11	Goudiri	33.4	30.9			33.7	30.5			34.3	31.3
12	Naye	34.6	32.1			35.7	31.7			35.7	32.7
13	Bakel	36.8	34.1			37.5	33.5			37.8	34.5
14	Koupentoum	33.9	31.5			33.4	31.3			34.3	31.7
15	Mamari	36.7	34.2			37.3	33.7			37.6	34.5
16	Velingara	32.2	30.9			32.0	30.6			32.6	31.5
17	Matam	38.0	35.7			38.4	35.3			38.9	36.0
18	Haire_Lao	38.8	37.7			39.2	37.4			39.9	38.2
19	Podor	38.7	37.3			39.1	37.0			39.6	38.0
20	Richard_Toll	38.2	36.0			38.7	36.0			39.1	36.9
21	Linguere	37.6	35.7			37.8	35.3			38.3	36.0
22	Daraa	37.4	34.8			37.6	34.6			38.1	35.3
23	Louga	36.0	33.5			36.3	33.5			37.1	34.0
24	Touba	35.5	33.6			35.7	33.4			36.5	33.7
25	Diourbel	34.6	32.8			34.9	32.5			36.0	32.9
26	Bambey	34.1	32.3			34.3	32.2			35.4	32.6
27	Koungheul	33.4	31.7			33.5	31.5			34.5	31.9
28	Kaffrine	33.3	31.7			33.4	31.4			34.2	31.8
29	Kaolack	33.3	31.6			33.4	31.3			34.4	31.7
30	Fatick	34.1	32.3			34.3	32.2			35.4	32.6
31	Gossas	34.6	32.8			34.9	32.5			36.0	32.9
32	Freetown	27.5	26.8			28.1	27.0			29.1	27.6
33	Cairo	39.4	41.0			38.4	39.1			37.6	37.5
34	Alexandria	33.8	33.9			33.0	32.3			32.2	31.2
35	Giza	39.4	41.0			38.4	39.1			37.6	37.5
36	Luxor	42.0	43.9			41.3	42.5			40.4	40.5
37	Sirte	35.3	34.3			36.0	34.4			36.1	33.4
38	Tripoli	30.0	29.8			29.6	29.7			30.2	28.4
39	Benghazi	29.8	29.7			29.1	29.0			29.5	28.0
40	Mistratah	31.2	31.2			30.8	31.2			31.3	29.9
41	Tunis	35.4	35.9			34.8	34.5			31.7	32.0
42	Sfax	29.5	30.2			29.0	29.6			28.6	28.2
43	Sousse	35.4	36.2			34.6	34.6			33.0	32.1
44	Algiers	27.1	27.0			26.8	26.2			26.4	25.6
45	Oran	35.9	36.2			35.4	35.0			32.8	33.3
46	Constantine	35.5	38.0			34.6	35.7			33.0	32.5
47	Annaba	31.1	31.3			31.5	30.2			29.6	28.5
48	Casablanca	30.7	29.3			30.7	29.1			29.4	29.2
49	Rabat	26.1	25.3			26.3	24.9			25.3	25.3
50	Fes	37.6	37.9			37.2	36.9			33.4	35.2
51	Sale	34.4	36.1			33.7	34.3			30.7	31.9
52	Riyadh	42.9	42.4			43.1	42.0			41.7	41.6
53	Jeddah	33.9	32.4			33.2	32.3			33.0	32.1
54	Mecca	42.6	37.2			42.3	38.7			41.9	39.3
55	Medina	43.6	41.9			43.7	42.6			42.5	41.9
56	Sanaa	25.7	21.6			25.7	23.0			26.0	23.7
57	Al_Hudaydah	36.7	33.8			36.7	34.6			36.3	35.2
58	Aden	39.2	36.8			39.4	37.6			39.2	38.2
59	London	23.5	23.3			23.4	23.8			23.1	22.8
60	Paris	25.7	26.5			26.2	26.4			24.6	25.5
61	Istanbul	28.8	27.6			28.6	25.7			26.4	24.3
62	Moscow	22.7	22.1			21.6	21.6			20.3	20.5
63	Madrid	32.2	32.8			31.3	32.0			28.9	30.0
64	Rome	36.0	34.9			33.8	33.0			31.9	30.7
65	Frankfurt	27.3	26.2			27.0	25.7			25.1	24.0
66	Kyiv	26.7	28.4			26.5	26.7			24.8	24.6
67	Berlin	26.4	25.5			25.7	24.4			24.0	22.6
68	Bucharest	33.6	34.5			31.2	32.1			29.3	29.8
69	Tokyo	33.7	31.7			32.8	31.8			32.1	30.6
70	Jakarta	26.5	27.2			26.4	27.3			26.3	27.2
71	Delhi	37.5	35.0			38.4	36.0			37.9	36.3
72	Manila	29.5	29.9			29.8	30.1			30.3	30.3
73	Seoul	31.9	31.0			30.9	29.8			29.9	30.1
74	Mumbai	32.5	30.4			31.7	31.2			29.9	30.0
75	Shanghai	32.2	33.5			31.2	31.6			29.5	30.8
76	Guangzhou	36.6	34.9			36.2	34.4			35.1	33.7
77	Beijing	32.5	30.4			31.7	31.2			29.9	30.0
78	Kolkata	34.0	33.8			34.1	33.7			34.1	33.8
79	Bangkok	33.6	32.6			33.1	32.5			32.7	31.4
80	Dhaka	33.7	34.0			33.7	33.6			33.4	34.1
81	Karachi	32.9	31.2			34.0	31.6			33.7	32.7
82	Mexico_City	21.7	21.6			22.3	21.0			21.5	20.8
83	New_York	28.8	29.8			29.2	29.2			27.8	27.5
84	Los_Angeles	30.8	32.3			32.7	31.0			31.3	31.5
85	Chicago	24.7	26.6			24.9	26.8			24.6	26.1
86	Dallas	35.9	34.1			34.4	35.0			33.7	33.8
87	Houston	34.2	33.8			33.8	34.6			32.3	33.7
88	Toronto	23.4	23.4			23.8	22.7			23.4	22.5
89	Washington_DC	31.8	33.3			32.8	33.0			30.7	31.3
90	Philadelphia	30.9	33.1			32.1	32.7			30.6	30.9
91	Miami	30.3	29.9			30.4	29.6			30.1	29.6
92	Leon	28.2	27.0			28.7	27.7			28.3	27.9
93	Santa_Ana	32.1	29.9			31.2	29.0			30.1	28.5
94	San_José	24.4	23.7			24.6	24.0			24.7	24.0
95	Panama_City	29.5	28.4			30.0	28.5			30.1	28.5
96	San_Pedro_Sula	32.6	31.7			33.3	32.1			33.4	32.6
97	San_Salvador	31.3	29.8			30.8	29.0			30.6	28.9
98	Guatemala_City	28.6	27.0			29.0	26.8			29.4	26.7
99	Managua	30.1	29.1			30.0	28.9			30.1	28.7
100	Tegucigalpa	28.3	27.3			28.0	27.5			28.3	26.7
101	Port-au-Prince	31.9	32.9			32.0	32.1			31.4	31.5
102	San-Juan	29.5	28.8			29.7	28.7			29.6	28.7
103	Havana	31.6	32.2			31.3	31.7			31.0	31.7
104	Kingston	29.2	28.7			29.2	28.8			29.3	28.7
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	29.1	28.5			29.0	28.4			29.1	28.3
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.7	28.1			29.0	28.0			29.0	28.0
107	Port_of_Spain	28.9	28.9			29.0	29.0			29.1	29.0

Download text version

Last Update: Fri Aug 12 06:31:10 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.