Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220809Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 16Aug2022 - 22Aug2022				Week 3: 23Aug2022 - 29Aug2022				Week 4: 30Aug2022 - 05Sep2022
NO	Stations	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	90th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	36.3	34.6			37.5	33.2			38.1	34.7
2	Niamey	36.6	35.1			37.7	33.5			38.5	34.8
3	Ouagadougou	33.3	31.8			34.6	30.4			35.5	31.2
4	Mopti	36.7	35.5			37.8	34.0			38.2	34.8
5	Bamako	31.0	29.5			31.9	28.4			32.2	29.0
6	Kayes	36.1	33.7			37.4	32.6			38.7	33.3
7	Tamba	37.1	32.2			36.6	31.6			37.3	31.8
8	Kedougou	31.0	29.3			31.1	29.1			31.2	29.3
9	Saraya	31.5	29.7			32.5	29.3			32.8	29.4
10	Dalafi	34.5	30.4			35.0	30.0			35.1	30.1
11	Goudiri	34.6	31.3			35.6	30.6			35.4	30.9
12	Naye	35.2	32.5			37.2	31.7			37.0	32.2
13	Bakel	37.3	34.3			38.1	33.5			39.2	33.9
14	Koupentoum	35.7	31.5			34.9	30.9			35.6	31.2
15	Mamari	37.4	34.0			37.7	33.3			38.8	33.5
16	Velingara	33.8	31.2			33.4	30.6			33.4	31.1
17	Matam	37.9	35.8			38.7	35.0			39.7	35.3
18	Haire_Lao	39.6	37.7			39.6	36.9			40.5	37.5
19	Podor	39.5	37.4			39.4	36.6			40.3	37.2
20	Richard_Toll	39.0	36.4			39.0	35.5			40.0	36.4
21	Linguere	37.8	35.2			38.3	34.4			39.4	34.8
22	Daraa	37.5	34.8			38.0	33.9			39.1	34.5
23	Louga	36.5	33.9			36.5	33.0			37.7	33.7
24	Touba	36.1	33.8			36.1	33.0			37.4	33.4
25	Diourbel	35.1	33.1			35.2	32.3			36.5	32.5
26	Bambey	34.6	32.6			34.5	32.0			35.8	32.2
27	Koungheul	34.6	31.6			34.2	30.9			35.1	31.1
28	Kaffrine	34.2	31.8			34.0	31.2			35.0	31.3
29	Kaolack	33.9	31.7			33.6	31.1			35.0	31.3
30	Fatick	34.6	32.6			34.5	32.0			35.8	32.2
31	Gossas	35.1	33.1			35.2	32.3			36.5	32.5
32	Freetown	27.6	27.1			28.4	27.0			29.3	27.4
33	Cairo	40.4	41.0			39.0	39.2			38.8	38.2
34	Alexandria	34.0	33.2			33.4	32.3			33.1	31.6
35	Giza	40.4	41.0			39.0	39.2			38.8	38.2
36	Luxor	43.0	44.2			42.0	42.4			41.4	41.5
37	Sirte	36.1	33.5			36.5	33.4			37.1	34.2
38	Tripoli	30.8	29.6			31.3	29.0			30.8	29.0
39	Benghazi	30.2	29.0			29.5	28.8			29.5	28.5
40	Mistratah	31.7	30.8			33.0	30.3			32.5	30.4
41	Tunis	36.1	34.3			37.0	34.5			33.7	32.6
42	Sfax	30.2	29.7			30.4	29.0			29.2	28.7
43	Sousse	36.1	34.7			37.2	34.1			34.7	32.8
44	Algiers	28.7	26.9			27.7	26.8			26.6	25.7
45	Oran	36.7	36.0			36.2	35.6			34.5	34.0
46	Constantine	37.0	36.2			36.9	35.6			34.1	33.1
47	Annaba	32.5	30.5			33.1	30.5			30.8	28.8
48	Casablanca	31.4	29.8			32.5	30.5			30.6	28.8
49	Rabat	26.6	25.3			27.9	26.1			26.1	24.8
50	Fes	39.0	38.5			37.6	37.8			34.9	35.4
51	Sale	35.2	36.0			34.6	34.7			31.6	32.8
52	Riyadh	43.1	41.6			43.6	42.1			42.8	41.8
53	Jeddah	34.2	31.9			33.6	31.8			33.4	32.0
54	Mecca	43.2	36.1			42.7	37.9			42.2	39.3
55	Medina	44.0	41.9			43.9	42.4			43.1	42.3
56	Sanaa	26.1	21.0			25.8	22.7			26.3	23.7
57	Al_Hudaydah	36.8	33.4			36.8	34.4			36.4	34.8
58	Aden	39.5	36.4			39.6	37.1			40.5	37.4
59	London	24.4	24.3			23.7	24.6			23.7	23.9
60	Paris	27.3	27.4			27.4	27.8			25.5	26.6
61	Istanbul	29.8	27.7			29.5	25.9			27.8	24.6
62	Moscow	25.8	24.9			22.7	21.2			21.9	18.8
63	Madrid	33.6	32.8			31.6	32.5			31.0	30.6
64	Rome	37.9	33.6			35.0	33.6			32.6	31.2
65	Frankfurt	28.5	26.6			28.1	27.2			26.1	24.5
66	Kyiv	28.9	29.6			26.5	27.5			26.0	24.4
67	Berlin	27.0	25.8			27.9	26.2			24.1	22.9
68	Bucharest	34.6	34.4			33.4	33.2			31.0	29.9
69	Tokyo	33.9	31.3			33.5	32.1			32.5	31.3
70	Jakarta	26.8	27.2			27.2	27.4			26.8	27.6
71	Delhi	38.2	34.7			39.3	36.4			38.6	36.5
72	Manila	30.1	30.4			29.8	30.3			30.4	30.0
73	Seoul	33.3	30.8			31.3	30.8			30.6	30.1
74	Mumbai	33.7	30.4			32.0	31.2			31.3	31.1
75	Shanghai	32.8	34.5			32.1	32.3			30.9	31.3
76	Guangzhou	37.0	35.0			36.2	34.8			35.6	34.5
77	Beijing	33.7	30.4			32.0	31.2			31.3	31.1
78	Kolkata	33.9	32.7			34.5	33.4			34.9	33.6
79	Bangkok	34.1	33.6			33.7	33.3			33.1	32.0
80	Dhaka	33.8	32.7			34.0	33.1			34.2	33.9
81	Karachi	32.9	30.9			34.2	31.3			35.3	32.1
82	Mexico_City	22.0	21.2			22.3	21.5			22.0	21.2
83	New_York	30.0	28.6			29.7	30.0			28.7	28.6
84	Los_Angeles	30.9	33.8			33.4	31.9			33.0	31.7
85	Chicago	24.9	25.4			25.4	27.7			25.2	26.8
86	Dallas	37.4	36.3			36.3	36.0			35.1	35.2
87	Houston	35.5	35.0			35.1	35.3			33.6	34.7
88	Toronto	24.2	23.5			24.4	24.5			24.2	23.9
89	Washington_DC	32.8	32.1			33.3	33.5			32.4	32.2
90	Philadelphia	32.3	31.8			32.8	33.3			32.3	31.8
91	Miami	30.5	30.1			30.6	29.8			30.5	30.0
92	Leon	28.4	27.3			28.7	27.7			28.4	28.0
93	Santa_Ana	32.8	29.7			31.8	28.9			31.4	28.6
94	San_José	24.8	23.9			24.9	23.9			24.8	24.3
95	Panama_City	29.9	28.8			29.9	28.0			30.4	28.5
96	San_Pedro_Sula	33.4	32.3			33.8	32.0			33.8	32.6
97	San_Salvador	31.6	29.4			31.2	28.7			31.0	28.7
98	Guatemala_City	29.0	27.1			29.2	26.7			29.7	26.8
99	Managua	30.7	29.0			30.9	28.6			30.9	28.5
100	Tegucigalpa	28.3	27.2			28.4	27.1			28.7	27.0
101	Port-au-Prince	32.4	33.3			32.3	32.3			32.1	31.4
102	San-Juan	29.6	28.6			29.8	28.8			29.8	28.8
103	Havana	31.8	32.3			31.6	31.8			31.4	31.9
104	Kingston	29.3	28.9			29.4	28.9			29.4	29.1
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	29.2	28.6			29.2	28.4			29.2	28.5
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.8	28.1			29.1	28.1			29.4	28.2
107	Port_of_Spain	29.1	28.8			29.1	28.8			29.2	28.9

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Last Update: Wed Aug 10 06:31:29 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.