Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220809Z00

International Desks

Climate Prediction Center

National Centers for Environmental Prediction

		Week 2: 16Aug2022 - 22Aug2022				Week 3: 23Aug2022 - 29Aug2022				Week 4: 30Aug2022 - 05Sep2022
NO	Stations	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert	80th Pctl Clim	Tmax	Rain	Alert
1	Tahoua	35.8	34.6			36.2	33.2			37.4	34.7
2	Niamey	35.8	35.1			36.9	33.5			37.8	34.8
3	Ouagadougou	32.5	31.8			33.3	30.4			34.4	31.2
4	Mopti	36.1	35.5			36.7	34.0			37.9	34.8
5	Bamako	30.4	29.5			30.7	28.4			31.6	29.0
6	Kayes	35.5	33.7			36.6	32.6			37.1	33.3
7	Tamba	34.6	32.2			34.9	31.6			35.8	31.8
8	Kedougou	30.0	29.3			30.5	29.1			30.8	29.3
9	Saraya	30.7	29.7			31.7	29.3			31.8	29.4
10	Dalafi	32.7	30.4			33.7	30.0			33.8	30.1
11	Goudiri	32.9	31.3			33.5	30.6			34.3	30.9
12	Naye	34.0	32.5			35.0	31.7			36.2	32.2
13	Bakel	36.1	34.3			37.1	33.5			38.2	33.9
14	Koupentoum	33.2	31.5			33.3	30.9			34.5	31.2
15	Mamari	35.9	34.0			37.0	33.3			38.1	33.5
16	Velingara	31.6	31.2			32.1	30.6			32.6	31.1
17	Matam	37.1	35.8			38.1	35.0			39.0	35.3
18	Haire_Lao	38.6	37.7			39.1	36.9			40.1	37.5
19	Podor	38.6	37.4			39.0	36.6			39.9	37.2
20	Richard_Toll	38.2	36.4			38.6	35.5			39.4	36.4
21	Linguere	37.1	35.2			37.7	34.4			38.9	34.8
22	Daraa	36.9	34.8			37.3	33.9			38.5	34.5
23	Louga	35.9	33.9			36.2	33.0			37.2	33.7
24	Touba	35.3	33.8			35.6	33.0			36.6	33.4
25	Diourbel	34.5	33.1			34.5	32.3			36.0	32.5
26	Bambey	34.2	32.6			34.1	32.0			35.3	32.2
27	Koungheul	33.0	31.6			33.3	30.9			34.3	31.1
28	Kaffrine	33.1	31.8			33.1	31.2			34.3	31.3
29	Kaolack	33.1	31.7			33.0	31.1			34.1	31.3
30	Fatick	34.2	32.6			34.1	32.0			35.3	32.2
31	Gossas	34.5	33.1			34.5	32.3			36.0	32.5
32	Freetown	27.4	27.1			28.1	27.0			28.9	27.4
33	Cairo	39.7	41.0			38.6	39.2			38.4	38.2
34	Alexandria	33.7	33.2			33.1	32.3			32.5	31.6
35	Giza	39.7	41.0			38.6	39.2			38.4	38.2
36	Luxor	41.9	44.2			41.7	42.4			40.7	41.5
37	Sirte	35.3	33.5			36.1	33.4			36.4	34.2
38	Tripoli	29.6	29.6			29.6	29.0			30.2	29.0
39	Benghazi	29.6	29.0			29.2	28.8			29.1	28.5
40	Mistratah	31.1	30.8			31.0	30.3			32.3	30.4
41	Tunis	35.4	34.3			34.4	34.5			33.4	32.6
42	Sfax	29.2	29.7			29.5	29.0			28.7	28.7
43	Sousse	35.5	34.7			34.5	34.1			33.7	32.8
44	Algiers	27.2	26.9			27.5	26.8			26.4	25.7
45	Oran	35.7	36.0			35.4	35.6			33.8	34.0
46	Constantine	36.4	36.2			35.0	35.6			33.3	33.1
47	Annaba	31.4	30.5			31.2	30.5			30.0	28.8
48	Casablanca	30.9	29.8			30.1	30.5			29.4	28.8
49	Rabat	26.0	25.3			25.9	26.1			25.2	24.8
50	Fes	37.8	38.5			36.8	37.8			34.1	35.4
51	Sale	35.0	36.0			34.3	34.7			31.1	32.8
52	Riyadh	43.0	41.6			43.1	42.1			42.3	41.8
53	Jeddah	33.9	31.9			33.2	31.8			32.9	32.0
54	Mecca	42.5	36.1			42.5	37.9			41.9	39.3
55	Medina	43.4	41.9			43.6	42.4			42.8	42.3
56	Sanaa	25.4	21.0			25.6	22.7			26.0	23.7
57	Al_Hudaydah	36.6	33.4			36.6	34.4			36.3	34.8
58	Aden	39.3	36.4			39.1	37.1			39.2	37.4
59	London	24.0	24.3			23.2	24.6			23.1	23.9
60	Paris	26.5	27.4			25.4	27.8			24.9	26.6
61	Istanbul	28.9	27.7			28.7	25.9			27.1	24.6
62	Moscow	24.3	24.9			21.3	21.2			20.5	18.8
63	Madrid	32.7	32.8			31.4	32.5			29.3	30.6
64	Rome	37.4	33.6			34.4	33.6			32.1	31.2
65	Frankfurt	28.0	26.6			26.9	27.2			25.7	24.5
66	Kyiv	27.0	29.6			26.0	27.5			25.6	24.4
67	Berlin	25.9	25.8			25.5	26.2			23.4	22.9
68	Bucharest	33.9	34.4			32.0	33.2			30.0	29.9
69	Tokyo	33.3	31.3			32.9	32.1			32.2	31.3
70	Jakarta	26.5	27.2			26.4	27.4			26.4	27.6
71	Delhi	37.8	34.7			38.0	36.4			37.6	36.5
72	Manila	29.8	30.4			29.6	30.3			30.0	30.0
73	Seoul	33.0	30.8			30.9	30.8			30.3	30.1
74	Mumbai	32.7	30.4			31.2	31.2			30.0	31.1
75	Shanghai	32.4	34.5			31.5	32.3			30.4	31.3
76	Guangzhou	36.5	35.0			35.9	34.8			35.4	34.5
77	Beijing	32.7	30.4			31.2	31.2			30.0	31.1
78	Kolkata	33.7	32.7			34.0	33.4			34.4	33.6
79	Bangkok	33.6	33.6			32.9	33.3			32.9	32.0
80	Dhaka	33.6	32.7			33.5	33.1			33.6	33.9
81	Karachi	32.6	30.9			33.9	31.3			34.1	32.1
82	Mexico_City	21.8	21.2			22.1	21.5			21.4	21.2
83	New_York	29.0	28.6			28.9	30.0			28.3	28.6
84	Los_Angeles	30.0	33.8			32.5	31.9			32.5	31.7
85	Chicago	24.6	25.4			25.1	27.7			24.9	26.8
86	Dallas	35.5	36.3			34.9	36.0			33.9	35.2
87	Houston	34.4	35.0			33.7	35.3			32.8	34.7
88	Toronto	23.6	23.5			23.5	24.5			23.1	23.9
89	Washington_DC	32.3	32.1			32.3	33.5			31.9	32.2
90	Philadelphia	31.7	31.8			31.5	33.3			31.2	31.8
91	Miami	30.3	30.1			30.4	29.8			30.1	30.0
92	Leon	28.1	27.3			28.5	27.7			28.2	28.0
93	Santa_Ana	32.2	29.7			31.0	28.9			30.3	28.6
94	San_José	24.5	23.9			24.6	23.9			24.5	24.3
95	Panama_City	29.5	28.8			29.7	28.0			30.1	28.5
96	San_Pedro_Sula	32.6	32.3			33.4	32.0			33.4	32.6
97	San_Salvador	31.4	29.4			30.8	28.7			30.1	28.7
98	Guatemala_City	28.8	27.1			28.7	26.7			29.3	26.8
99	Managua	30.1	29.0			30.0	28.6			30.1	28.5
100	Tegucigalpa	28.0	27.2			28.0	27.1			28.1	27.0
101	Port-au-Prince	32.0	33.3			32.0	32.3			31.7	31.4
102	San-Juan	29.4	28.6			29.6	28.8			29.6	28.8
103	Havana	31.5	32.3			31.4	31.8			31.2	31.9
104	Kingston	29.2	28.9			29.1	28.9			29.3	29.1
105	Santiago_de_Cuba	29.0	28.6			29.0	28.4			29.1	28.5
106	Santiago_de_los_Caballeros	28.7	28.1			28.9	28.1			29.0	28.2
107	Port_of_Spain	28.9	28.8			29.0	28.8			29.1	28.9

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Last Update: Wed Aug 10 06:31:27 UTC 2022

Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.