Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220809Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Aug-11-2022Aug-12-2022Aug-13-2022Aug-14-2022Aug-15-2022
NO Stations 80th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 35.7 35.5 34.5 32.5 32.1 33.3
2 Niamey 36.6 35.5 35.9 34.3 32.2 33.7
3 Ouagadougou 33.8 32.4 32.2 30.8 29.6 30.8
4 Mopti 36.2 35.0 36.0 36.3 35.4 33.9
5 Bamako 30.6 28.9 29.4 29.8 29.0 29.3
6 Kayes 35.7 32.8 33.9 34.5 34.0 33.0
7 Tamba 35.7 32.0 31.7 33.1 32.4 31.9
8 Kedougou 30.4 29.0 28.0 29.3 29.5 29.8
9 Saraya 31.3 29.4 29.0 29.8 29.6 30.2
10 Dalafi 33.7 30.2 29.9 31.1 30.3 30.4
11 Goudiri 33.8 30.8 30.8 31.8 31.3 30.9
12 Naye 35.2 31.8 32.2 33.1 32.5 31.8
13 Bakel 36.6 33.5 34.1 35.4 35.2 33.8
14 Koupentoum 34.7 31.2 31.3 32.4 32.0 31.1
15 Mamari 36.9 33.1 33.7 35.4 35.1 33.5
16 Velingara 32.6 30.4 30.9 32.4 31.5 30.7
17 Matam 37.8 34.5 35.5 37.2 37.3 35.4
18 Haire_Lao 38.7 36.0 36.4 38.5 38.5 37.4
19 Podor 38.6 36.0 36.3 38.0 38.0 37.0
20 Richard_Toll 38.1 35.1 35.4 36.5 36.6 36.4
21 Linguere 37.7 34.2 34.7 36.2 36.1 34.9
22 Daraa 37.2 33.9 34.3 35.4 35.2 34.3
23 Louga 35.8 33.4 33.6 34.0 34.0 33.9
24 Touba 35.7 33.2 33.6 34.5 34.3 33.4
25 Diourbel 35.3 32.3 33.0 34.2 33.7 32.4
26 Bambey 34.6 31.7 32.5 33.6 32.7 31.9
27 Koungheul 34.6 31.0 31.3 32.4 32.2 31.1
28 Kaffrine 34.2 31.1 31.7 32.7 32.4 31.2
29 Kaolack 33.9 31.0 31.7 32.7 32.2 31.3
30 Fatick 34.6 31.7 32.5 33.6 32.7 31.9
31 Gossas 35.3 32.3 33.0 34.2 33.7 32.4
32 Freetown 27.5 26.5 26.4 27.1 26.5 26.7
33 Cairo 40.1 38.0 38.4 38.2 39.1 40.3
34 Alexandria 33.7 31.5 31.9 31.8 31.8 32.2
35 Giza 40.1 38.0 38.4 38.2 39.1 40.3
36 Luxor 42.6 40.7 40.2 40.9 41.6 42.6
37 Sirte 35.2 31.9 33.5 34.1 35.6 36.9
38 Tripoli 30.0 28.7 30.1 30.2 31.7 31.7
39 Benghazi 29.4 28.3 28.1 28.4 28.8 29.3
40 Mistratah 31.2 29.5 31.4 31.4 33.3 33.4
41 Tunis 34.4 36.5 36.0 38.3 36.8 35.9
42 Sfax 28.8 29.5 30.6 30.5 31.2 31.1
43 Sousse 34.6 36.4 36.0 37.3 37.0 36.1
44 Algiers 26.8 30.1 30.5 28.7 27.5 26.9
45 Oran 35.2 43.8 39.6 35.3 33.8 33.7
46 Constantine 35.3 39.2 40.1 39.7 36.5 37.2
47 Annaba 30.2 32.7 32.8 33.4 31.6 31.1
48 Casablanca 30.6 28.9 28.0 26.9 26.3 27.0
49 Rabat 25.7 24.9 24.5 24.0 23.5 23.8
50 Fes 37.4 40.6 37.0 33.9 32.6 34.8
51 Sale 34.0 39.1 37.1 34.0 32.6 33.9
52 Riyadh 43.2 43.4 41.0 40.4 42.0 41.8
53 Jeddah 33.8 32.0 31.8 31.9 31.9 32.0
54 Mecca 42.1 37.5 37.0 36.8 37.3 36.7
55 Medina 43.7 43.2 43.3 43.0 43.5 43.3
56 Sanaa 25.9 21.5 21.5 21.7 21.5 21.0
57 Al_Hudaydah 36.4 32.9 33.7 34.1 34.0 33.6
58 Aden 39.2 36.7 37.5 37.7 37.1 36.4
59 London 23.7 31.0 30.9 28.6 25.9 23.7
60 Paris 26.4 34.8 34.2 31.3 27.9 25.3
61 Istanbul 29.6 28.2 28.5 28.1 30.2 31.3
62 Moscow 25.1 26.8 26.7 27.4 27.8 27.5
63 Madrid 32.2 35.8 32.2 29.9 28.6 29.0
64 Rome 35.0 31.6 33.0 33.1 31.8 31.8
65 Frankfurt 27.3 31.4 32.3 30.7 28.0 26.1
66 Kyiv 28.4 30.0 30.4 32.3 31.9 32.3
67 Berlin 26.4 30.8 31.2 31.8 30.3 26.2
68 Bucharest 33.4 33.0 33.0 33.6 35.8 37.9
69 Tokyo 34.3 34.8 35.4 35.7 37.3 35.0
70 Jakarta 26.5 27.8 27.8 27.9 27.9 27.7
71 Delhi 37.1 37.5 37.7 35.9 36.6 36.2
72 Manila 30.2 30.7 30.2 30.0 30.4 30.8
73 Seoul 34.1 33.5 31.9 31.0 30.1 31.7
74 Mumbai 33.7 30.0 30.9 34.6 33.5 31.4
75 Shanghai 33.0 36.1 34.7 36.1 37.1 35.0
76 Guangzhou 35.9 32.5 32.9 33.2 33.9 34.8
77 Beijing 33.7 30.0 30.9 34.6 33.5 31.4
78 Kolkata 33.4 33.5 32.3 31.9 31.6 32.5
79 Bangkok 33.3 32.0 32.5 32.1 32.5 33.3
80 Dhaka 33.4 33.7 32.7 32.2 32.3 32.5
81 Karachi 32.3 32.1 31.0 30.7 31.0 30.6
82 Mexico_City 22.3 20.9 21.0 21.4 21.9 21.8
83 New_York 30.3 28.4 27.8 27.5 27.0 26.9
84 Los_Angeles 33.1 33.8 34.0 33.3 32.0 32.2
85 Chicago 25.0 23.8 25.3 25.4 25.8 25.9
86 Dallas 36.2 35.0 36.0 37.0 38.2 37.6
87 Houston 35.1 34.2 35.4 35.9 35.9 35.7
88 Toronto 24.6 22.5 22.6 22.7 23.0 23.4
89 Washington_DC 33.2 29.3 30.7 30.9 30.1 30.5
90 Philadelphia 32.8 30.0 31.3 31.7 30.5 30.1
91 Miami 30.7 29.9 30.0 29.9 29.8 30.0
92 Leon 27.8 27.3 27.5 27.7 27.9 27.6
93 Santa_Ana 32.5 31.1 30.4 29.5 29.4 28.8
94 San_José 24.3 23.4 23.5 23.4 23.0 23.7
95 Panama_City 29.7 28.0 27.8 27.6 26.9 27.5
96 San_Pedro_Sula 32.6 31.5 31.5 31.8 32.2 32.2
97 San_Salvador 31.4 29.6 29.3 29.0 28.7 28.4
98 Guatemala_City 28.6 27.0 27.6 27.2 27.1 27.2
99 Managua 30.2 29.4 29.2 29.2 29.2 28.5
100 Tegucigalpa 27.5 29.4 28.3 27.8 27.9 27.4
101 Port-au-Prince 32.2 33.4 33.9 33.5 33.4 33.3
102 San-Juan 29.4 28.5 28.8 29.0 29.0 28.8
103 Havana 31.7 31.3 31.5 31.7 32.0 32.0
104 Kingston 29.1 28.7 28.7 28.8 28.9 28.9
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 29.0 28.4 28.4 28.5 28.5 28.5
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 28.6 27.9 28.0 28.1 28.3 28.3
107 Port_of_Spain 28.7 29.0 29.2 29.1 28.9 28.6



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Last Update: Wed Aug 10 06:31:23 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.