Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220802Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Aug-04-2022Aug-05-2022Aug-06-2022Aug-07-2022Aug-08-2022
NO Stations 90th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 37.0 35.6 35.8 34.7 34.5 35.4
2 Niamey 37.5 35.3 36.4 35.6 35.3 35.5
3 Ouagadougou 35.1 32.4 32.8 33.1 32.8 32.8
4 Mopti 37.0 34.8 37.1 37.8 37.3 36.3
5 Bamako 31.6 30.1 31.5 31.1 31.2 30.5
6 Kayes 37.3 34.3 35.3 36.2 36.5 35.9
7 Tamba 36.7 33.0 33.1 33.1 34.1 33.5
8 Kedougou 31.0 30.4 30.6 29.5 30.4 30.7
9 Saraya 32.3 31.8 31.7 30.8 31.3 31.5
10 Dalafi 34.7 31.8 31.9 31.3 32.2 32.2
11 Goudiri 35.4 32.0 32.3 32.4 33.1 32.8
12 Naye 36.8 33.2 33.5 34.1 34.5 34.0
13 Bakel 37.6 34.7 34.9 35.8 36.4 36.0
14 Koupentoum 36.2 32.4 32.3 32.8 33.6 33.0
15 Mamari 37.3 34.6 34.4 35.6 36.1 35.7
16 Velingara 34.4 31.8 32.7 32.0 33.1 32.9
17 Matam 38.2 35.8 35.8 37.0 37.5 37.4
18 Haire_Lao 39.3 37.3 37.3 38.5 39.0 39.2
19 Podor 39.1 37.0 37.1 38.0 38.6 38.6
20 Richard_Toll 38.4 35.6 36.1 36.5 36.8 37.0
21 Linguere 38.0 35.5 35.1 36.3 36.8 36.4
22 Daraa 37.9 34.8 34.6 35.6 35.6 35.3
23 Louga 36.5 33.2 33.7 34.3 33.9 33.8
24 Touba 36.6 34.1 33.8 34.7 34.7 34.3
25 Diourbel 36.0 33.8 33.1 34.2 34.7 33.5
26 Bambey 35.3 32.9 32.7 33.7 33.9 32.6
27 Koungheul 35.5 32.3 32.2 32.7 33.6 32.9
28 Kaffrine 35.0 32.5 32.3 32.9 33.6 32.6
29 Kaolack 34.7 32.2 32.3 32.8 33.4 32.1
30 Fatick 35.3 32.9 32.7 33.7 33.9 32.6
31 Gossas 36.0 33.8 33.1 34.2 34.7 33.5
32 Freetown 27.7 28.2 28.3 27.7 27.5 26.9
33 Cairo 40.3 39.2 39.1 38.7 38.1 38.3
34 Alexandria 34.0 32.5 32.8 32.7 32.3 32.0
35 Giza 40.3 39.2 39.1 38.7 38.1 38.3
36 Luxor 42.8 43.6 44.0 44.0 43.1 41.9
37 Sirte 37.0 33.1 33.7 33.8 33.5 33.6
38 Tripoli 30.6 29.2 29.2 29.2 29.3 29.5
39 Benghazi 30.6 28.8 28.9 28.9 29.1 29.0
40 Mistratah 32.1 30.4 30.9 30.8 30.8 30.9
41 Tunis 37.6 35.4 35.5 35.4 35.8 35.7
42 Sfax 29.9 29.4 29.6 29.5 29.7 30.0
43 Sousse 37.5 34.9 35.3 35.1 35.6 36.1
44 Algiers 27.4 27.2 27.2 27.2 27.1 27.5
45 Oran 37.3 36.9 35.4 35.1 35.9 36.4
46 Constantine 38.0 35.6 35.8 36.6 37.3 37.1
47 Annaba 32.5 31.0 30.6 30.8 31.3 31.2
48 Casablanca 32.4 28.1 27.2 26.8 26.9 27.5
49 Rabat 27.9 24.3 23.7 23.5 23.6 23.9
50 Fes 39.5 37.4 35.7 35.0 35.8 36.3
51 Sale 36.5 36.7 35.2 34.8 35.8 36.3
52 Riyadh 44.0 43.5 44.1 44.1 43.3 43.2
53 Jeddah 33.9 32.3 32.6 32.5 32.6 32.4
54 Mecca 42.1 36.3 36.7 38.1 39.3 38.2
55 Medina 44.3 41.8 42.3 43.0 43.8 43.4
56 Sanaa 25.3 20.0 21.2 21.8 22.5 22.1
57 Al_Hudaydah 37.0 33.4 34.0 34.6 34.6 34.1
58 Aden 40.2 38.0 38.0 37.3 36.1 36.0
59 London 26.1 24.0 25.4 26.3 27.1 27.6
60 Paris 27.1 29.0 31.0 31.6 32.1 32.2
61 Istanbul 30.7 27.3 28.2 28.8 28.7 27.9
62 Moscow 26.0 28.1 25.4 24.2 22.3 23.2
63 Madrid 33.4 35.6 35.2 35.3 35.5 35.8
64 Rome 38.2 37.5 37.9 37.2 36.6 36.1
65 Frankfurt 30.7 26.9 28.7 29.5 29.6 29.5
66 Kyiv 29.8 32.8 31.3 29.4 28.1 27.8
67 Berlin 29.5 24.3 25.1 26.4 27.1 27.6
68 Bucharest 35.5 35.5 35.9 35.7 34.6 33.5
69 Tokyo 35.3 31.0 33.2 35.0 35.7 35.2
70 Jakarta 27.2 26.8 26.5 26.5 26.6 26.8
71 Delhi 38.2 38.2 36.5 37.7 40.1 39.2
72 Manila 29.6 28.7 28.8 29.2 29.1 28.9
73 Seoul 35.6 33.2 34.1 30.9 29.3 28.9
74 Mumbai 34.4 38.4 33.1 30.6 30.6 32.0
75 Shanghai 33.5 35.6 35.1 34.2 33.3 33.5
76 Guangzhou 36.9 33.1 34.5 34.9 33.3 33.4
77 Beijing 34.4 38.4 33.1 30.6 30.6 32.0
78 Kolkata 34.5 34.4 34.4 34.8 34.6 33.3
79 Bangkok 32.4 31.3 31.0 30.3 29.1 28.2
80 Dhaka 34.0 33.5 34.4 35.0 34.4 33.8
81 Karachi 33.2 32.3 32.4 32.4 32.9 33.0
82 Mexico_City 22.8 22.7 22.1 21.6 21.6 21.8
83 New_York 31.1 32.9 32.8 33.4 30.7 29.4
84 Los_Angeles 33.4 30.8 32.1 32.6 31.9 31.1
85 Chicago 26.4 28.5 29.8 28.1 27.2 26.4
86 Dallas 37.4 35.7 36.9 37.3 37.3 36.8
87 Houston 35.9 34.2 34.8 35.5 35.7 35.5
88 Toronto 25.8 24.1 26.4 24.5 23.6 21.7
89 Washington_DC 35.1 36.9 36.0 36.0 34.3 32.7
90 Philadelphia 34.2 36.7 35.9 35.8 33.5 32.5
91 Miami 30.7 29.6 29.4 29.5 29.8 29.9
92 Leon 28.3 25.7 26.6 26.7 26.7 26.9
93 Santa_Ana 32.4 30.3 30.6 30.9 30.6 30.5
94 San_José 24.8 22.4 22.7 22.5 23.4 24.0
95 Panama_City 30.2 27.8 27.9 28.1 28.8 28.9
96 San_Pedro_Sula 33.0 30.1 30.2 30.6 30.9 30.8
97 San_Salvador 31.8 29.8 30.1 30.4 29.7 29.8
98 Guatemala_City 29.6 26.6 26.4 26.9 26.9 27.0
99 Managua 30.9 28.0 28.8 29.1 28.9 29.1
100 Tegucigalpa 28.4 26.5 27.0 27.5 27.3 27.2
101 Port-au-Prince 32.3 32.5 33.3 33.3 32.4 32.7
102 San-Juan 29.5 28.2 28.2 28.1 28.3 28.5
103 Havana 32.1 31.5 31.2 31.8 31.9 32.1
104 Kingston 29.3 28.6 28.6 28.7 28.8 28.8
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 29.1 28.4 28.5 28.5 28.6 28.5
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 28.8 27.7 27.8 27.9 27.8 27.9
107 Port_of_Spain 28.9 28.0 28.2 28.3 28.2 28.4



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Last Update: Wed Aug 3 19:20:48 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.