Urban Heat Island Forecasts

NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System

Initial: 20220802Z00

International Desks
Climate Prediction Center
National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Aug-04-2022Aug-05-2022Aug-06-2022Aug-07-2022Aug-08-2022
NO Stations 80th Pctl Clim Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert Tmax Rain Alert
1 Tahoua 35.5 35.6 35.8 34.7 34.5 35.4
2 Niamey 36.4 35.3 36.4 35.6 35.3 35.5
3 Ouagadougou 34.0 32.4 32.8 33.1 32.8 32.8
4 Mopti 36.4 34.8 37.1 37.8 37.3 36.3
5 Bamako 31.0 30.1 31.5 31.1 31.2 30.5
6 Kayes 36.3 34.3 35.3 36.2 36.5 35.9
7 Tamba 36.3 33.0 33.1 33.1 34.1 33.5
8 Kedougou 30.8 30.4 30.6 29.5 30.4 30.7
9 Saraya 31.8 31.8 31.7 30.8 31.3 31.5
10 Dalafi 34.0 31.8 31.9 31.3 32.2 32.2
11 Goudiri 34.6 32.0 32.3 32.4 33.1 32.8
12 Naye 36.0 33.2 33.5 34.1 34.5 34.0
13 Bakel 37.2 34.7 34.9 35.8 36.4 36.0
14 Koupentoum 35.1 32.4 32.3 32.8 33.6 33.0
15 Mamari 37.0 34.6 34.4 35.6 36.1 35.7
16 Velingara 33.8 31.8 32.7 32.0 33.1 32.9
17 Matam 37.8 35.8 35.8 37.0 37.5 37.4
18 Haire_Lao 38.8 37.3 37.3 38.5 39.0 39.2
19 Podor 38.6 37.0 37.1 38.0 38.6 38.6
20 Richard_Toll 37.9 35.6 36.1 36.5 36.8 37.0
21 Linguere 37.6 35.5 35.1 36.3 36.8 36.4
22 Daraa 37.1 34.8 34.6 35.6 35.6 35.3
23 Louga 35.8 33.2 33.7 34.3 33.9 33.8
24 Touba 35.9 34.1 33.8 34.7 34.7 34.3
25 Diourbel 35.5 33.8 33.1 34.2 34.7 33.5
26 Bambey 34.7 32.9 32.7 33.7 33.9 32.6
27 Koungheul 34.9 32.3 32.2 32.7 33.6 32.9
28 Kaffrine 34.5 32.5 32.3 32.9 33.6 32.6
29 Kaolack 34.3 32.2 32.3 32.8 33.4 32.1
30 Fatick 34.7 32.9 32.7 33.7 33.9 32.6
31 Gossas 35.5 33.8 33.1 34.2 34.7 33.5
32 Freetown 27.5 28.2 28.3 27.7 27.5 26.9
33 Cairo 39.9 39.2 39.1 38.7 38.1 38.3
34 Alexandria 33.5 32.5 32.8 32.7 32.3 32.0
35 Giza 39.9 39.2 39.1 38.7 38.1 38.3
36 Luxor 42.3 43.6 44.0 44.0 43.1 41.9
37 Sirte 36.3 33.1 33.7 33.8 33.5 33.6
38 Tripoli 30.2 29.2 29.2 29.2 29.3 29.5
39 Benghazi 30.2 28.8 28.9 28.9 29.1 29.0
40 Mistratah 31.2 30.4 30.9 30.8 30.8 30.9
41 Tunis 35.1 35.4 35.5 35.4 35.8 35.7
42 Sfax 29.3 29.4 29.6 29.5 29.7 30.0
43 Sousse 35.7 34.9 35.3 35.1 35.6 36.1
44 Algiers 27.3 27.2 27.2 27.2 27.1 27.5
45 Oran 36.6 36.9 35.4 35.1 35.9 36.4
46 Constantine 36.2 35.6 35.8 36.6 37.3 37.1
47 Annaba 31.5 31.0 30.6 30.8 31.3 31.2
48 Casablanca 31.6 28.1 27.2 26.8 26.9 27.5
49 Rabat 26.9 24.3 23.7 23.5 23.6 23.9
50 Fes 39.1 37.4 35.7 35.0 35.8 36.3
51 Sale 35.4 36.7 35.2 34.8 35.8 36.3
52 Riyadh 43.7 43.5 44.1 44.1 43.3 43.2
53 Jeddah 33.5 32.3 32.6 32.5 32.6 32.4
54 Mecca 41.4 36.3 36.7 38.1 39.3 38.2
55 Medina 43.9 41.8 42.3 43.0 43.8 43.4
56 Sanaa 24.4 20.0 21.2 21.8 22.5 22.1
57 Al_Hudaydah 36.7 33.4 34.0 34.6 34.6 34.1
58 Aden 39.8 38.0 38.0 37.3 36.1 36.0
59 London 24.0 24.0 25.4 26.3 27.1 27.6
60 Paris 26.3 29.0 31.0 31.6 32.1 32.2
61 Istanbul 29.5 27.3 28.2 28.8 28.7 27.9
62 Moscow 25.3 28.1 25.4 24.2 22.3 23.2
63 Madrid 32.7 35.6 35.2 35.3 35.5 35.8
64 Rome 37.1 37.5 37.9 37.2 36.6 36.1
65 Frankfurt 28.5 26.9 28.7 29.5 29.6 29.5
66 Kyiv 29.0 32.8 31.3 29.4 28.1 27.8
67 Berlin 27.7 24.3 25.1 26.4 27.1 27.6
68 Bucharest 34.6 35.5 35.9 35.7 34.6 33.5
69 Tokyo 34.9 31.0 33.2 35.0 35.7 35.2
70 Jakarta 26.7 26.8 26.5 26.5 26.6 26.8
71 Delhi 37.6 38.2 36.5 37.7 40.1 39.2
72 Manila 29.2 28.7 28.8 29.2 29.1 28.9
73 Seoul 35.2 33.2 34.1 30.9 29.3 28.9
74 Mumbai 34.0 38.4 33.1 30.6 30.6 32.0
75 Shanghai 32.7 35.6 35.1 34.2 33.3 33.5
76 Guangzhou 36.5 33.1 34.5 34.9 33.3 33.4
77 Beijing 34.0 38.4 33.1 30.6 30.6 32.0
78 Kolkata 34.2 34.4 34.4 34.8 34.6 33.3
79 Bangkok 31.8 31.3 31.0 30.3 29.1 28.2
80 Dhaka 33.8 33.5 34.4 35.0 34.4 33.8
81 Karachi 32.6 32.3 32.4 32.4 32.9 33.0
82 Mexico_City 22.4 22.7 22.1 21.6 21.6 21.8
83 New_York 30.5 32.9 32.8 33.4 30.7 29.4
84 Los_Angeles 31.9 30.8 32.1 32.6 31.9 31.1
85 Chicago 25.7 28.5 29.8 28.1 27.2 26.4
86 Dallas 36.3 35.7 36.9 37.3 37.3 36.8
87 Houston 35.3 34.2 34.8 35.5 35.7 35.5
88 Toronto 25.4 24.1 26.4 24.5 23.6 21.7
89 Washington_DC 34.2 36.9 36.0 36.0 34.3 32.7
90 Philadelphia 33.3 36.7 35.9 35.8 33.5 32.5
91 Miami 30.6 29.6 29.4 29.5 29.8 29.9
92 Leon 28.0 25.7 26.6 26.7 26.7 26.9
93 Santa_Ana 32.0 30.3 30.6 30.9 30.6 30.5
94 San_José 24.5 22.4 22.7 22.5 23.4 24.0
95 Panama_City 29.9 27.8 27.9 28.1 28.8 28.9
96 San_Pedro_Sula 32.8 30.1 30.2 30.6 30.9 30.8
97 San_Salvador 31.3 29.8 30.1 30.4 29.7 29.8
98 Guatemala_City 29.1 26.6 26.4 26.9 26.9 27.0
99 Managua 30.3 28.0 28.8 29.1 28.9 29.1
100 Tegucigalpa 28.2 26.5 27.0 27.5 27.3 27.2
101 Port-au-Prince 32.1 32.5 33.3 33.3 32.4 32.7
102 San-Juan 29.3 28.2 28.2 28.1 28.3 28.5
103 Havana 31.9 31.5 31.2 31.8 31.9 32.1
104 Kingston 29.1 28.6 28.6 28.7 28.8 28.8
105 Santiago_de_Cuba 28.9 28.4 28.5 28.5 28.6 28.5
106 Santiago_de_los_Caballeros 28.7 27.7 27.8 27.9 27.8 27.9
107 Port_of_Spain 28.8 28.0 28.2 28.3 28.2 28.4



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Last Update: Wed Aug 3 19:20:41 UTC 2022


Questions or comments about the Urban Heat Island outlooks may be directed to Dr. Wassila Thiaw, Head, International Desks/NOAA, wassila.thiaw@noaa.gov with copy to endalkachew.bekele@noaa.gov and li.xu@noaa,gov.